BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Incarnate Word
Class: 1B Class Rank: 8 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 127.88
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (7-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (11-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W * 117.88 28 7 1B 110 ( 1-11) Northern Colorado -9.56 6.84 30.56
2 09/07/2024 Away L * 129.87 24 45 1B 1 (12- 3) South Dakota St 2.43 -8.28 -23.43
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 114.48 28 35 1B 47 ( 4- 8) Southern Illinois -12.95 12.66 5.95
4 09/21/2024 Home W * 145.32 38 14 1B 15 ( 8- 5) Northern Arizona 17.88 -10.78 6.12
5 10/05/2024 Home W * 121.71 56 28 1B 118 ( 5- 7) Prairie View A&M -5.72 * 30.20 33.72
6 10/12/2024 Home W * * 156.84 55 10 1B 71 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St 29.41 -2.15 15.59
7 10/19/2024 Home W * * 127.01 30 17 1B 54 ( 6- 6) McNeese St -0.42 22.13 13.42
8 10/26/2024 Away W * * 122.55 34 31 1B 43 ( 7- 5) SE Louisiana -4.89 14.88 7.89
9 11/02/2024 Home W * * 129.07 45 20 1B 83 ( 5- 7) Houston Christian 1.63 33.43 23.37
10 11/09/2024 Home W * * 131.93 41 20 1B 63 ( 7- 5) Lamar 4.50 18.31 16.50
11 11/16/2024 Away W * * 132.46 27 20 1B 14 ( 7- 5) Stephen F. Austin 5.03 1.42 1.97
12 11/23/2024 Away W * * 119.08 38 24 1B 102 ( 3- 9) TAMU-Commerce -8.35 26.13 22.35
13 12/07/2024 Home W * 126.03 13 6 1B 30 (10- 4) Villanova -1.40 11.89 8.40
14 12/14/2024 Away L * 109.87 14 55 1B 1 (12- 3) South Dakota St -17.57 -19.57 -23.43
Averages 127.44 33.6 23.7
Best game: 156.84 = 45 point win over Nicholls St
Worst game: 109.87 = 41 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev: 12.20